GekkoTech · Autonomous futures · Order-Flow AMT

GekkoTrader

6

Context maps the scenario. Orderflow pulls the trigger.

LANE: SIM / REPLAY STATUS: OPERATIONAL
BTCUSDTfetching...
ETHUSDTfetching...
SOLUSDTfetching...
ENAUSDTfetching...

Auction Resolution Model (ARM)

Systematized adaptation of Christopher Creamer's July 2026 Robbins World Cup winning framework.

01

Regime (1H / 4H)

Value Area migration structure (VALUE_UP / VALUE_DOWN / SIDEWAYS) + Deribit BTC naive GEX volatility filter.

02

Location Gate

Discount zone (70.5%–88.6% Fib of active swing) outside Value Area. Invalidation at 88.6%.

03

Footprint Confirmation (5m)

Absorption at wick POC → dominance shift → seller failure accompanied by ≥400% diagonal imbalance.

04

Execution & Management

Mandatory Post-Only Maker limit entry. Trailing stop behind aggression, open-ended structural exits.

Microstructure & Cost Floor

Hard mathematical boundaries governing Binance USDT-M futures execution.

14b

Taker Round-Trip Floor

5 bps fee + 2 bps slippage (x2 sides) = ~14 bps. Taker scalping at 5m/1m stops is mathematically negative EV.

04b

Maker Discipline (ADR-0006)

Limit/post-only entries lower round-trip drag to ~4–8 bps, preserving positive expected value on 5m holds.

24h

Session-Adaptive Windows

Asia (00:00-03:00 UTC), London (07:00-09:00 UTC), and NY (13:30-15:30 UTC) with dynamic volume percentiles.

Sim Evidence: July 2026 BTCUSDT Optimization

One-variable-at-a-time coordinate ascent cycles evaluated against 8,928 5m bars (~20M trades).

Cycle Hypothesis / Variable Tested Trades Win Rate Profit Factor Gross R Net R (Maker)
C0 Baseline (Strict location, fixed swing-high TP) 9 33.3% 1.92 +5.52R -10.32R
C1 +0.5 ATR Stop Buffer (Noise cushion) 9 44.4% 1.50 +2.50R -4.56R
C2 Selective Sessions (Asia + London + NY Open) 2 50.0% 2.40 +1.40R +0.80R
F1 Break-Even stop trigger at +0.5R 9 0.0% 0.00 +0.00R -7.78R
F2 Structural Stop at 88.6% Fib Invalidation 9 33.3% 1.92 +5.52R -10.32R

Calibrated Perpetual Universe (Top 10)

Selected by order flow tradability surface: Score = log(QuoteVol) × Range × log(OI) ÷ Spread. Re-calibrated monthly.

Rank Symbol Role in Portfolio Flow Profile Execution Rule
#1ENAUSDTHigh Volatility ExpansionWide 5m expansion wicksPost-Only Limit / Strict Imbalance
#2TAOUSDTTrend Pullback BetaHigh directional momentumPost-Only Limit
#3ETHUSDTCore Liquidity BenchmarkTight spreads (<0.1 bp)Post-Only Limit / GEX Overlay
#41000PEPEUSDTMeme Momentum VelocityHigh retail participationPost-Only Limit / Max Hold 45m
#5SOLUSDTHigh Frequency RotationActive US session volumePost-Only Limit
#6XRPUSDTDeep Liquidity SwingsHeavy resting book depthPost-Only Limit
#7BTCUSDTPrimary Anchor AssetMacro trend referencePost-Only Limit / Deribit GEX
#8SUIUSDTMomentum Breakout BetaFast auction displacementPost-Only Limit
#9LINKUSDTInstitutional Flow PullbackConsistent Value Area boundsPost-Only Limit
#10BNBUSDTLow Spread AnchorExchange flow correlationPost-Only Limit